BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Forest City

Class: 2A Class Rank: 36 Conference: (15-1-0) Overall: (21-9-0) Overall Strength =   21.63

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/22/2012 Home    W    22.15   8   7   2A  42 (11-18) Hampton-Dumont          0.51      0.49                      
  2 05/24/2012 Home    W    26.44   8   3   2A  40 (21-13) Saint Ansgar            4.81      0.19                      
  3 05/24/2012 Home    L    20.44   7   8   2A  40 (21-13) Saint Ansgar           -1.19      0.19                      
  4 05/30/2012 Away    L    21.87   1   3   3A  39 (19-16) Waverly-Shell Rock      0.23     -2.23                      
  5 06/01/2012 Away    W *  21.00  11   3   1A 101 ( 4-17) Britt West Hancock     -0.63      8.63                      
  6 06/04/2012 Home    W *  20.69   2   1   2A  62 (20-14) Osage                  -0.95      1.95                      
  7 06/05/2012 Away    L    19.21   3   5   2A  40 (21-13) Saint Ansgar           -2.42      0.42                      
  8 06/05/2012 Away    L    15.21   0   6   2A  40 (21-13) Saint Ansgar           -6.42      0.42                      
  9 06/06/2012 Home    W *  18.13   2   1   1A  66 (13-16) Lake Mills             -3.50      4.50                      
 10 06/08/2012 Home    W *  25.10  12   2   2A  86 ( 8-23) Garner-Hayfield         3.47      6.53                      
 11 06/11/2012 Away    W *  18.02   5   4   1A  67 ( 8-13) North Iowa             -3.61      4.61                      
 12 06/12/2012 Away    L    20.84   1   3   3A  46 (20-12) Humboldt               -0.79     -1.21                      
 13 06/13/2012 Away    W *  21.93  15   3   1A 129 ( 2-22) Belmond-Klemme          0.30     11.70  5 inn               
 14 06/14/2012 Home    L    11.63   1  18   3A   6 (33- 7) Clear Lake            -10.00     -7.00  Ozzie Adams collects 200 th career hit on his 3 rd HR of the game
 15 06/15/2012 Away    L *  20.05   1   8   1A   3 (35- 5) Mason City Newman      -1.58     -5.42                      
 16 06/18/2012 Home    W *  14.23  10   9   1A 101 ( 4-17) Britt West Hancock     -7.40      8.40                      
 17 06/19/2012 Away    W    28.90  16   5   2A  71 (11-21) Central Springs         7.27      3.73                      
 18 06/21/2012 Away    L    14.00   3  11   3A  47 (13-19) Algona                 -7.63     -0.37                      
 19 06/22/2012 Away    W *  19.90   5   2   1A  66 (13-16) Lake Mills             -1.73      4.73                      
 20 06/25/2012 Away    W *  22.87  10   2   2A  86 ( 8-23) Garner-Hayfield         1.24      6.76                      
 21 06/26/2012 Home    W    29.17  10   0   2A  67 (16-16) Clarion-Goldfield       7.54      2.46                      
 22 06/27/2012 Home    W *  23.25   8   2   1A  67 ( 8-13) North Iowa              1.62      4.38                      
 23 06/29/2012 Home    W *  20.16  10   0   1A 129 ( 2-22) Belmond-Klemme         -1.47     11.47                      
 24 07/02/2012 Home    W *  28.28   9   8   1A   3 (35- 5) Mason City Newman       6.65     -5.65                      
 25 07/03/2012 Away    W *  30.45  11   0   2A  62 (20-14) Osage                   8.82      2.18                      
 26 07/07/2012 Unknown W *  21.99  11   4   2A  86 ( 8-23) Garner-Hayfield         0.36      6.64                      
 27 07/10/2012 Unknown W *  24.57   8   3   2A  62 (20-14) Osage                   2.94      2.06                      
 28 07/14/2012 Unknown W    23.33   5   3   2A  40 (21-13) Saint Ansgar            1.69      0.31                      
 29 07/17/2012 Neutral W    21.06   7   5   2A  67 (16-16) Clarion-Goldfield      -0.57      2.57  8 innings           
 30 07/21/2012 Unknown L    24.06   0   5   2A   3 (31- 5) Alleman North Polk      2.43     -7.43                      
      Averages              21.63   6.7  4.5

Best game:   30.45 = 11 point win over Osage
Worst game:  11.63 = 17 point loss to Clear Lake
Team stdev:   4.49